Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000689 0.000784 0.000884 0.000997 0.001122 0.001255 0.001407
2025-08-31 0.000521 0.000648 0.000792 0.000967 0.001170 0.001400 0.001676
2025-09-07 0.000440 0.000582 0.000751 0.000964 0.001223 0.001524 0.001899
2025-09-14 0.000380 0.000531 0.000719 0.000964 0.001271 0.001640 0.002111
2025-09-21 0.000329 0.000484 0.000684 0.000953 0.001301 0.001729 0.002289
2025-09-28 0.000285 0.000441 0.000648 0.000936 0.001318 0.001800 0.002443
2025-10-05 0.000263 0.000424 0.000646 0.000961 0.001389 0.001938 0.002683
2025-10-12 0.000242 0.000407 0.000639 0.000979 0.001449 0.002063 0.002909
2025-10-19 0.000216 0.000379 0.000616 0.000970 0.001471 0.002137 0.003070
2025-10-26 0.000192 0.000352 0.000591 0.000957 0.001486 0.002201 0.003216
2025-11-02 0.000177 0.000337 0.000583 0.000967 0.001532 0.002306 0.003420
2025-11-09 0.000161 0.000320 0.000569 0.000967 0.001563 0.002392 0.003597
2025-11-16 0.000140 0.000291 0.000536 0.000938 0.001550 0.002416 0.003693
2025-11-23 0.000122 0.000266 0.000507 0.000911 0.001539 0.002442 0.003791
2025-11-30 0.000111 0.000251 0.000493 0.000908 0.001563 0.002518 0.003960
2025-12-07 0.000101 0.000239 0.000482 0.000908 0.001591 0.002599 0.004138
2025-12-14 0.000091 0.000224 0.000465 0.000897 0.001603 0.002656 0.004281
2025-12-21 0.000081 0.000208 0.000446 0.000881 0.001603 0.002696 0.004399
2025-12-28 0.000077 0.000205 0.000450 0.000905 0.001668 0.002833 0.004664
2026-01-04 0.000073 0.000201 0.000451 0.000922 0.001723 0.002956 0.004909
2026-01-11 0.000066 0.000189 0.000437 0.000914 0.001735 0.003014 0.005058
2026-01-18 0.000059 0.000178 0.000422 0.000902 0.001740 0.003061 0.005191
2026-01-25 0.000055 0.000172 0.000419 0.000911 0.001781 0.003165 0.005411